Tuesday, 6 May 2014

Kijiji???!!! Really???!!!

Get a load of this!

Apparently the government used job listings on sites like Kijiji and Craigslist to compile their labour data; data used to tell Canadians the nation faced a looming labour shortage and justifying the out of control TFW program and, by implication, record levels of immigration during a severe economic downturn.

And now they have readjusted that data to ignore job postings on Kijiji and like media and as a result job-vacancy rates plummet.

In other words the TFW program and unnecessary mass immigration was based on misleading information that exaggerated the alleged looming labour shortage for which TFWs and immigrants were imported into Canada to alleviate. So now we don't really have a looming labour shortage but rather a labour surplus thanks in whole to immigrants and TFWs.

The "looming labour shortage" caveat has been thrown around for years, decades even, by all political parties with little challenge to its veracity. Were past predictions correct employment should be plentiful now due to the mass exodus of baby-boomers from the labour market coupled with a growing economy. We needed record levels of immigration back then, so we were told, to meet then current labour market needs and to prepare for future shortages. But that's not how things shaped up so far has it? The boomers are leaving the workforce at a glacial pace and Canada's economy, while growing, is not growing fast enough to warrant the importation of so many people. And many of the jobs that existed back then - particularly in manufacturing - either no longer exist or have been moved abroad.

But that's the purpose of the "looming labour shortage" scare tactic. It's about convincing people to support policy today based on future events for which we have no way of knowing if they'll come to pass until that day comes. And when that day comes and you are wrong in your predictions, who cares? Everyone would have forgotten you made those predictions anyway and you'd still be making predictions about future events for which we have no way of knowing if they'll come to pass until that day arrives. It's a profession as old as prostitution. The Greeks has oracles, the Romans had augurs, we have economists.

The truth of the matter is reliable labour data is hard to come by. Much of it is best guess work and anecdotal. But it's not unreasonable to assume employers are intentionally fudging the data because it's in their interest to do so. It's absurd to believe the U.S. needs to expand it's H1-B visa program because of an alleged "looming labour shortage" in the high-tech sector. When Canadian employers are dismissing experience and a willingness to work to discriminate against job seekers based on age and gaps in their work history greater than six months they're the ones with the entitlement problem, not the Millenials. This is compounded by their refusal to train Canadians to meet their labour force needs but have no problem importing and training TFWs. And besides, why are there so many TFWs in southwestern Ontario?

This is another reminder of the fact that much of Canada's immigration policy has been founded on shoddy data and discredited assumptions.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Canada's immigration policy has driven me crazy for years. As my New Year's Resolution for 2014, I decided to create a website to express my opinions. Check it out - http://immigrationbacklash.com/
Obviously, we are in agreement about a lot of stuff. I live in Victoria, BC, so come at the issue from a west coast perspective. Thanks, Doug Stewart